~ / data / macro / 2026-08-07-0830

$ macro show 2026-08-07-0830 # Fri 7 Aug 2026 · 08:30 ET · 2026-08-07 12:30 UTC · US session at release: extended

Jobs report (July)

Jobs report Released Fri 7 Aug 2026 · 08:30 ET. The official numbers, then how Hyperliquid's xyz perps moved from the last trade before the release, through the hour before the NYSE opened, to the open.

$ macro numbers 2026-08-07-0830 # first print as published · revisions shown separately

Official numbersno consensus forecast is official, so none is shown

Employment Situation · 2026-07

Nonfarm payrolls: −23k; prior +20k, first printed +57k · now revised to −10k
Unemployment rate: 4.1%; prior 4.2%
Avg hourly earnings m/m: +0.05%; prior +0.29% · now revised to +0.13%
Prior two months revised: −103k

source: PAYEMS, UNRATE, CES0500000003 · release

$ macro path 2026-08-07-0830 --from -10m --to +60m # 10-second points

Reactionbps from the last trade before 08:30 ET

SP500 · XYZ100 · GOLD · USD

USD = EURUSD inverted · a gap = no valid price: no trade after the release yet, or no reference trade in the 2 minutes before it · hover for values

SP500XYZ100GOLDUSD

market	−30 min	−5 min	−1 min	5 s	30 s	1 min	5 min	15 min	30 min	at open	max 60 s	fills 5m
SP500index	−8.3	−1.8	0.0	+13.1	+13.6	+11.9	+10.0	+21.0	+23.0	+4.1	+21.1at 19.8 s	740
XYZ100index	−16.2	−3.7	+3.0	+18.3	+21.0	+16.9	+28.8	+45.7	+58.5	+15.9	+34.2at 16.1 s	1,444
GOLDcommodity	+34.8	+7.0	+15.3	+60.1	+91.7	+99.8	+116.5	+129.0	+114.6	+111.2	+108.6at 13.1 s	2,640
SILVERcommodity	+27.7	+0.9	+24.1	+135.1	+145.6	+122.6	+132.0	+137.9	+123.5	+38.6	+185.8at 11.2 s	3,019
CLcommodity	−74.1	−11.1	−10.1	−12.7	−38.4	−39.4	−47.8	−77.6	−78.5	−55.7	−46.7at 16.8 s	966
BRENTOILcommodity	−52.8	−16.7	−15.6	−17.2	−43.8	−43.8	−51.6	−73.2	−74.5	−41.1	−50.9at 16.5 s	784
COPPERcommodity	+10.4	+12.8	+10.2	+31.1	+60.1	+49.3	+54.1	+58.8	+55.3	−1.8	+69.3at 9.1 s	107
EURfx · up = dollar down	—	0.0	—	+15.6	+25.1	+28.6	+36.4	+38.1	+37.3	+33.8	+33.8at 13.1 s	180
GBPfx · up = dollar down · no trade before the release	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	14
JPYfx · up = dollar up	−0.6	+1.3	−1.3	−15.2	−33.5	−40.4	−94.1	−60.6	−58.7	−56.8	−47.4at 18.3 s	294
TLTetf · no trade before the release	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	0
SMHetf · no trade before the release	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	17

reference = the last trade before the release, no older than 2 minutes; before-release columns show where the market already was relative to it · after the release, a point is the last trade up to that time and only trades after the release count; "—" = no such trade · EUR and GBP are quoted in dollars per unit, JPY in yen per dollar, so "up" means a weaker dollar for EUR and GBP and a stronger one for JPY · max 60 s = the largest move on any trade in the first minute and when it happened · at open = last trade at 09:30:00 ET

every proxy · −10 to +60 min

SP500

XYZ100

GOLD

SILVER

CL

BRENTOIL

COPPER

EUR

JPY

$ macro path 2026-08-07-0830 --to open # one point per minute

From the release to the opendid the first move hold?

08:30 → 09:35 ET · bps from the last trade before the release

USD = EURUSD inverted · hover for values

SP500XYZ100GOLDUSD

SP500: +10.0 bps 5 minutes after, +4.1 bps at the open · the first move held

$ macro stocks 2026-08-07-0830 --sort abs-5m # 47 US stocks and ETFs on xyz · sortable

Every US stock and ETFbps from the last trade before the release

5 min after

43 up · 2 flat · 1 down of 46

sort by

market	5 s	1 min	5 min	15 min	at open	fills 5m
KORUetf	+83.8	+224.2	+371.5	+505.0	+454.7	299
SOXLetf	+147.6	+129.5	+251.8	+381.3	+261.2	51
NBISus equity	+67.5	+75.1	+145.2	+282.2	+24.4	380
EWYetf	+78.5	+86.9	+133.4	+182.9	+175.6	1,502
CRWVus equity	+50.1	+82.8	+129.8	+191.0	+193.6	113
SNDKus equity	+105.0	+95.0	+129.0	+179.9	+116.6	3,485
MRVLus equity	+117.5	+62.9	+108.7	+126.3	+131.8	401
INTCus equity	+81.9	+69.1	+107.6	+116.5	+99.7	355
MUus equity	+77.8	+63.7	+106.1	+133.5	+54.1	3,672
ARMus equity	+88.6	+83.1	+105.1	+114.3	+318.6	76
AMDus equity	+89.6	+54.1	+95.1	+119.9	+49.7	377
EWTetf	+12.7	+44.1	+95.1	+123.5	+93.1	16
ASMLus equity	+27.6	+108.1	+94.9	+144.4	+111.0	97
EWJetf	—	+70.6	+91.7	+106.4	+105.6	121
QCOMus equity	+44.5	+48.9	+88.5	+139.2	+71.8	42
AMATus equity	+33.3	+83.0	+85.2	+137.6	+37.0	23
RKLBus equity	+42.1	+90.2	+74.9	+93.9	+63.4	55
DELLus equity	+43.1	+29.1	+72.2	+95.1	−64.4	130
NOKus equity	+42.5	+59.0	+68.7	+148.5	+53.2	109
LITEus equity	+77.4	+26.7	+61.3	+69.3	−43.1	141
DKNGus equity	+1.8	−18.6	+57.6	+94.3	+411.8	115
TSMus equity	+25.7	+51.7	+49.3	+91.0	+116.0	56
BABAus equity	+16.6	+38.7	+45.0	+83.7	+71.1	11
NVDAus equity	+23.2	+19.1	+44.5	+63.6	+77.7	354
WDCus equity	+38.7	+61.0	+44.5	+92.1	−118.1	106
BEus equity	+78.5	+40.5	+44.2	+131.1	+53.4	100
TSLAus equity	+25.5	+32.7	+41.1	+47.6	+29.9	256
HOODus equity	+65.9	+37.9	+40.9	+101.2	+88.2	160
AVGOus equity	+17.4	+16.9	+38.5	+60.6	+76.6	32
IBMus equity	+3.0	+32.8	+38.4	+56.7	+69.5	27
USARus equity	−4.4	+37.9	+37.9	+155.1	+80.8	17
ORCLus equity	+37.3	+41.5	+37.3	+103.0	+71.2	61
PLTRus equity	+45.6	+41.8	+36.7	+85.5	+137.5	26
BBus equity	+8.1	+39.7	+34.0	+77.0	+113.1	64
CRCLus equity	+78.3	+33.2	+32.1	+105.4	+228.8	370
COINus equity	+39.2	+28.4	+26.3	+68.9	+6.1	124
GOOGLus equity	+26.8	+9.5	+21.3	+16.8	−18.5	230
METAus equity	+10.4	+13.4	+17.5	+14.3	−47.7	311
LLYus equity	—	+20.9	+14.2	−10.9	−12.5	10
STRCus equity	—	+10.5	+11.2	+3.1	+18.3	20
AMZNus equity	+20.1	+10.6	+7.7	+37.3	−15.0	145
MSTRus equity	+86.5	+14.3	+6.0	+118.2	+234.4	435
MSFTus equity	+16.7	+7.4	−4.6	+10.9	+28.1	225
URNMetf	—	—	+2.0	+35.6	+59.1	1
NOWus equity	—	—	+0.8	+0.8	+49.5	20
AAPLus equity	+16.0	+15.1	+0.3	+17.6	−18.6	106
XLEetf	—	—	—	−5.5	−56.7	0

every live US-equity and ETF market on xyz with a trade in the 2 minutes before the release · default order = largest 5-minute move either way · thin markets can show large moves on one or two fills; check the fill count · flat = under 1 bp

$ macro ls --type nfp # earlier releases of the same type

Earlier Jobs report5 minutes after · bps

date	SP500	XYZ100	GOLD	USD
2026-07-02	+18.9	+30.4	+151.4	−46.5
2026-06-05	—	—	—	—
2026-05-08	—	—	—	—
2026-04-03	—	—	—	—
2026-03-06	—	—	—	—
2026-02-11	—	—	—	—
2026-01-09	—	—	—	—

USD = EURUSD inverted · raw: /api/xyz/macro/event/2026-08-07-0830.json · definitions in methodology