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$ macro show 2026-10-02-0830 # Fri 2 Oct 2026 · 08:30 ET · 2026-10-02 12:30 UTC · US session at release: extended

Jobs report (September)

Jobs report Released Fri 2 Oct 2026 · 08:30 ET. The official numbers, then how Hyperliquid's xyz perps moved from the last trade before the release, through the hour before the NYSE opened, to the open.

$ macro numbers 2026-10-02-0830 # first print as published · revisions shown separately

Official numbersno consensus forecast is official, so none is shown

Employment Situation · 2026-09

Nonfarm payrolls: +29k; prior +133k, first printed +162k
Unemployment rate: 4.2%; prior 4.1%
Avg hourly earnings m/m: +0.13%; prior +0.32%
Prior two months revised: −60k

source: PAYEMS, UNRATE, CES0500000003 · release

$ macro path 2026-10-02-0830 --from -10m --to +60m # 10-second points

Reactionbps from the last trade before 08:30 ET

SP500 · XYZ100 · GOLD · USD

USD = EURUSD inverted · a gap = no valid price: no trade after the release yet, or no reference trade in the 2 minutes before it · hover for values

SP500XYZ100GOLDUSD

market	−30 min	−5 min	−1 min	5 s	30 s	1 min	5 min	15 min	30 min	at open	max 60 s	fills 5m
SP500index	−10.0	−9.6	−5.7	+9.5	+18.2	+17.1	+33.0	+27.4	+40.9	+31.1	+27.8at 7.2 s	1,964
XYZ100index	−16.3	−12.4	−6.8	+11.1	+18.9	+16.9	+40.7	+37.1	+57.9	+51.8	+22.5at 26.3 s	1,295
GOLDcommodity	−5.7	−14.6	−10.7	+79.8	+60.0	+61.6	+83.6	+56.4	+74.8	+17.7	+85.5at 5.5 s	968
SILVERcommodity	−14.2	−31.1	−15.0	+106.3	+82.6	+73.6	+126.6	+79.2	+94.9	+53.0	+130.8at 4.6 s	1,624
CLcommodity	−27.2	−17.9	−1.4	−10.5	−6.5	+0.7	−41.7	−29.4	−51.3	−68.5	−10.8at 5.0 s	548
BRENTOILcommodity	−9.3	−17.2	−4.7	−11.5	−7.8	−1.3	−33.2	−10.8	−41.0	−25.3	−12.9at 4.7 s	483
COPPERcommodity · no trade before the release	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	121
EURfx · up = dollar down	+4.4	—	−4.4	+14.2	+11.6	+9.8	+14.2	+11.6	+28.5	+21.4	+28.5at 6.2 s	133
GBPfx · up = dollar down · no trade before the release	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	19
JPYfx · up = dollar up · no trade before the release	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	101
TLTetf · no trade before the release	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	47
SMHetf	−10.0	—	0.0	+2.7	+2.9	+40.5	+49.0	+78.6	+103.8	+84.0	+63.3at 6.8 s	26

reference = the last trade before the release, no older than 2 minutes; before-release columns show where the market already was relative to it · after the release, a point is the last trade up to that time and only trades after the release count; "—" = no such trade · EUR and GBP are quoted in dollars per unit, JPY in yen per dollar, so "up" means a weaker dollar for EUR and GBP and a stronger one for JPY · max 60 s = the largest move on any trade in the first minute and when it happened · at open = last trade at 09:30:00 ET

every proxy · −10 to +60 min

SP500

XYZ100

GOLD

SILVER

CL

BRENTOIL

EUR

SMH

$ macro path 2026-10-02-0830 --to open # one point per minute

From the release to the opendid the first move hold?

08:30 → 09:35 ET · bps from the last trade before the release

USD = EURUSD inverted · hover for values

SP500XYZ100GOLDUSD

SP500: +33.0 bps 5 minutes after, +31.1 bps at the open · the first move held

$ macro stocks 2026-10-02-0830 --sort abs-5m # 50 US stocks and ETFs on xyz · sortable

Every US stock and ETFbps from the last trade before the release

5 min after

50 up · 0 flat · 0 down of 50

sort by

market	5 s	1 min	5 min	15 min	at open	fills 5m
KORUetf	+89.8	+98.9	+197.3	+145.1	+307.5	372
SOXLetf	+121.6	+85.2	+175.4	+174.8	+204.4	608
AAOIus equity	+53.7	+28.7	+171.2	+166.5	+195.2	156
NBISus equity	+81.5	+80.2	+130.8	+138.5	+122.2	246
IRENus equity	—	+80.6	+111.1	+128.3	+142.3	84
CRWVus equity	+23.5	+50.5	+107.4	+110.5	+178.6	274
USARus equity	—	+55.3	+101.2	+143.6	+88.3	32
ARMus equity	+33.8	+46.8	+90.9	+84.3	+185.5	109
LITEus equity	+62.3	+9.6	+90.2	+83.4	+110.3	101
RKLBus equity	+59.9	+24.1	+88.0	+79.1	+108.6	83
QCOMus equity	—	+49.9	+87.3	+78.1	+123.6	36
MRVLus equity	+49.5	+41.8	+85.2	+96.4	+121.2	223
HIMSus equity	+25.1	+83.0	+81.3	+100.6	+162.9	64
AMATus equity	+40.1	+28.3	+80.5	+89.2	+124.5	16
BBus equity	−10.0	+26.6	+80.2	+94.6	+83.5	160
BEus equity	+108.6	+55.0	+76.7	+76.7	+102.6	147
INTCus equity	+28.5	+16.3	+76.5	+43.9	+96.8	566
MSTRus equity	+65.3	+133.1	+73.2	−22.4	+41.7	783
NOKus equity	+33.3	+26.6	+72.3	+57.1	+102.8	57
EWYetf	+52.9	+39.1	+71.9	+62.9	+101.5	497
HOODus equity	+58.3	+61.0	+69.8	+48.6	+39.8	182
DELLus equity	+58.6	+46.4	+66.8	+81.8	+85.1	95
RIVNus equity	+0.7	+22.1	+63.7	+91.8	+191.1	6
PLTRus equity	+22.0	+30.9	+63.3	+56.5	+91.5	172
ORCLus equity	0.0	+25.6	+55.4	+68.2	+95.9	128
SMHetf	+2.7	+40.5	+49.0	+78.6	+84.0	26
MRNAus equity	+29.5	+18.9	+45.3	−8.9	+5.3	96
ASMLus equity	+40.4	+19.1	+44.3	+66.7	+102.2	40
WDCus equity	+39.6	−4.2	+43.8	−39.4	−116.6	92
EWZetf	+19.1	+50.2	+43.1	+27.9	−21.8	10
MUus equity	+44.5	+10.9	+41.7	+23.6	+52.6	1,630
CRCLus equity	+29.2	+46.1	+41.1	+72.8	+84.7	839
TSMus equity	+22.7	+18.6	+40.6	+47.3	+55.3	130
COINus equity	+56.8	+80.4	+39.9	+15.4	−28.2	148
GOOGLus equity	+28.5	+12.9	+36.7	+27.0	+37.6	417
METAus equity	+36.5	+12.6	+35.7	+46.6	+60.1	451
AVGOus equity	−4.9	+22.4	+33.9	+40.8	+48.2	47
AMDus equity	+17.3	+7.0	+33.4	+33.5	+111.9	933
MSFTus equity	+10.6	+13.9	+30.0	+28.6	+49.5	686
NVDAus equity	+8.5	+8.9	+28.9	+20.8	+34.0	670
IBMus equity	—	+21.2	+27.9	+35.8	+48.7	63
AMZNus equity	+14.8	+0.8	+26.3	+25.1	+40.7	241
NOWus equity	—	+22.4	+22.4	+66.6	+84.7	2
SNDKus equity	+46.4	+9.1	+22.1	+47.5	+43.6	1,296
BABAus equity	+23.6	+4.7	+20.8	+27.4	+39.6	96
TSLAus equity	+14.9	+5.9	+17.1	+14.3	+112.3	582
AAPLus equity	+18.4	+6.6	+13.0	+14.5	+45.5	226
XLEetf	0.0	+11.6	+11.6	−14.3	−21.8	2
BMNRus equity	−16.6	+27.5	+4.7	−51.3	−16.6	17
GMEus equity	—	+7.8	+2.1	−5.4	−8.2	3

every live US-equity and ETF market on xyz with a trade in the 2 minutes before the release · default order = largest 5-minute move either way · thin markets can show large moves on one or two fills; check the fill count · flat = under 1 bp

$ macro ls --type nfp # earlier releases of the same type

Earlier Jobs report5 minutes after · bps

date	SP500	XYZ100	GOLD	USD
2026-09-04	−30.5	−48.2	−176.7	+25.8
2026-08-07	+10.0	+28.8	+116.5	−36.4
2026-07-02	+18.9	+30.4	+151.4	−46.5
2026-06-05	—	—	—	—
2026-05-08	—	—	—	—
2026-04-03	—	—	—	—
2026-03-06	—	—	—	—
2026-02-11	—	—	—	—
2026-01-09	—	—	—	—

USD = EURUSD inverted · raw: /api/xyz/macro/event/2026-10-02-0830.json · definitions in methodology