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$ macro show 2026-08-26-0830 # Wed 26 Aug 2026 · 08:30 ET · 2026-08-26 12:30 UTC · US session at release: extended

PCE (July) + GDP 2026Q2, second estimate

PCEGDP Released Wed 26 Aug 2026 · 08:30 ET. The official numbers, then how Hyperliquid's xyz perps moved from the last trade before the release, through the hour before the NYSE opened, to the open.

$ macro numbers 2026-08-26-0830 # first print as published · revisions shown separately

Official numbersno consensus forecast is official, so none is shown

Personal Income and Outlays · 2026-07

PCE prices m/m: +0.2%; prior −0.1% · now revised to +0.1%
Core PCE m/m: +0.2%; prior +0.1% · now revised to +0.1%
PCE prices y/y: 3.7%; prior 3.7% · now revised to 3.4%
Core PCE y/y: 3.3%; prior 3.3% · now revised to 3.0%

source: PCEPI, PCEPILFE · release

Gross Domestic Product · 2026Q2, second estimate

Real GDP, q/q annualised: +1.5%; prior +2.1% · now revised to +2.2%

source: A191RL1Q225SBEA · release

$ macro path 2026-08-26-0830 --from -10m --to +60m # 10-second points

Reactionbps from the last trade before 08:30 ET

SP500 · XYZ100 · GOLD · USD

USD = EURUSD inverted · a gap = no valid price: no trade after the release yet, or no reference trade in the 2 minutes before it · hover for values

SP500XYZ100GOLDUSD

market	−30 min	−5 min	−1 min	5 s	30 s	1 min	5 min	15 min	30 min	at open	max 60 s	fills 5m
SP500index	−9.8	−6.1	−1.7	+0.1	−7.2	−8.3	−15.1	−19.3	−21.4	−21.4	−9.5at 20.8 s	335
XYZ100index	−12.3	−8.6	−2.1	+1.0	−13.0	−15.4	−26.7	−30.5	−33.2	−28.8	−16.4at 21.4 s	599
GOLDcommodity	−9.5	−6.9	−1.3	+4.5	−25.5	−21.6	−15.6	−12.7	−30.7	−43.0	−43.6at 8.8 s	614
SILVERcommodity	−37.3	−22.5	−9.7	+3.3	−43.8	−39.7	−10.7	−11.7	−84.4	−107.2	−47.9at 24.4 s	954
CLcommodity	+38.8	+14.6	+0.4	0.0	+4.9	+10.5	−0.9	+1.9	+49.8	+59.1	+12.6at 16.5 s	205
BRENTOILcommodity	+37.8	+8.8	−1.5	+0.5	+5.6	+14.9	+7.0	+7.5	+56.1	+67.0	+14.9at 58.3 s	243
COPPERcommodity	0.0	−1.8	—	+2.5	−19.8	−15.4	−2.5	−22.6	−24.0	−49.1	−19.8at 24.7 s	33
EURfx · up = dollar down	−1.7	+2.6	0.0	—	—	—	−5.1	−6.9	−12.0	−13.7	—	11
GBPfx · up = dollar down · no trade before the release	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	0
JPYfx · up = dollar up	—	+6.3	+1.3	—	+3.1	+3.1	+7.6	+14.5	+20.8	+25.8	+3.8at 15.1 s	18
TLTetf · no trade before the release	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	0
SMHetf · no trade before the release	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	7

reference = the last trade before the release, no older than 2 minutes; before-release columns show where the market already was relative to it · after the release, a point is the last trade up to that time and only trades after the release count; "—" = no such trade · EUR and GBP are quoted in dollars per unit, JPY in yen per dollar, so "up" means a weaker dollar for EUR and GBP and a stronger one for JPY · max 60 s = the largest move on any trade in the first minute and when it happened · at open = last trade at 09:30:00 ET

every proxy · −10 to +60 min

SP500

XYZ100

GOLD

SILVER

CL

BRENTOIL

COPPER

EUR

JPY

$ macro path 2026-08-26-0830 --to open # one point per minute

From the release to the opendid the first move hold?

08:30 → 09:35 ET · bps from the last trade before the release

USD = EURUSD inverted · hover for values

SP500XYZ100GOLDUSD

SP500: −15.1 bps 5 minutes after, −21.4 bps at the open · the first move held

$ macro stocks 2026-08-26-0830 --sort abs-5m # 48 US stocks and ETFs on xyz · sortable

Every US stock and ETFbps from the last trade before the release

5 min after

3 up · 0 flat · 41 down of 44

sort by

market	5 s	1 min	5 min	15 min	at open	fills 5m
SOXLetf	+15.6	−69.2	−183.3	−166.9	−80.4	364
KORUetf	—	−71.4	−166.7	−148.0	−163.4	231
MRVLus equity	+7.1	−22.0	−120.0	−96.7	−35.3	311
BEus equity	+1.8	−11.9	−106.0	−102.8	−161.1	33
CRWVus equity	−3.2	−26.4	−91.8	−78.5	−115.8	159
AAOIus equity	—	−25.9	−89.2	−85.6	−120.4	5
NBISus equity	—	−23.6	−89.0	−102.6	−217.4	199
IRENus equity	—	−2.9	−88.1	−87.4	−171.0	12
WDCus equity	—	−34.9	−82.9	−69.1	+74.4	54
HOODus equity	+1.8	−26.0	−68.3	−97.0	−97.9	97
USARus equity	—	−14.2	−66.9	−114.0	−93.7	21
INTCus equity	—	−22.5	−64.2	−79.2	−43.4	289
MRNAus equity	−5.1	−14.8	−62.3	−70.7	−81.6	253
LITEus equity	—	−21.7	−61.9	−71.2	+33.3	69
SNDKus equity	+2.0	−35.4	−61.2	−77.6	−100.0	1,391
CRCLus equity	+1.1	−40.1	−59.9	−81.9	−124.3	274
AMDus equity	—	−7.1	−59.7	−51.5	−50.3	167
BIRDus equity	+56.4	+56.4	+56.4	−30.7	+33.6	10
MSTRus equity	−0.8	−71.6	−56.4	−96.2	−193.2	109
COINus equity	—	−36.6	−55.5	−89.9	−191.2	172
QCOMus equity	—	—	−54.7	−60.2	−64.0	31
EWYetf	+6.1	−20.0	−53.3	−47.7	−47.2	252
RKLBus equity	—	−12.2	−53.2	−63.1	−90.8	54
ARMus equity	—	−18.7	−53.1	−75.9	−31.9	35
DELLus equity	—	−18.9	−51.7	−55.2	−43.9	38
MUus equity	−1.1	−25.3	−50.9	−53.4	−32.8	1,117
NOKus equity	—	−16.5	−47.7	−38.0	−46.7	32
PLTRus equity	+5.8	−11.7	−43.8	−42.0	−38.0	36
ORCLus equity	−1.4	−23.8	−42.2	−57.2	−12.9	53
AVGOus equity	+3.6	−4.7	−38.2	−27.3	−54.4	105
TSLAus equity	+0.3	−18.0	−37.4	−55.4	−131.7	110
CRWDus equity	—	—	−24.4	−46.6	−100.7	2
BBus equity	—	+3.1	−23.7	−5.5	−57.3	12
TSMus equity	—	−14.8	−23.4	−25.5	−37.0	27
METAus equity	−1.6	+0.5	+22.9	+17.4	+166.7	293
GEVus equity	—	−19.1	−22.4	−25.6	−22.3	41
NVDAus equity	—	−16.4	−20.2	−28.1	−41.7	255
IBMus equity	—	−14.6	−14.6	−11.6	−91.8	1
AMZNus equity	—	−1.5	−14.1	−21.4	−26.0	49
AAPLus equity	−0.6	−4.8	−11.3	+2.6	−17.7	141
GOOGLus equity	—	−3.2	−10.9	−21.3	−10.1	61
MSFTus equity	+3.9	+6.5	−9.8	−14.3	−23.9	224
URNMetf	—	—	−8.3	−19.3	−64.1	2
NFLXus equity	—	—	+2.3	+21.2	−40.4	3
BABAus equity	—	—	—	+9.2	+13.4	0
BXus equity	—	—	—	—	−18.8	0
LLYus equity	—	—	—	−4.0	+23.5	0
RDDTus equity	—	—	—	—	+4.4	0

every live US-equity and ETF market on xyz with a trade in the 2 minutes before the release · default order = largest 5-minute move either way · thin markets can show large moves on one or two fills; check the fill count · flat = under 1 bp

$ macro ls --type pce # earlier releases of the same type

Earlier PCE5 minutes after · bps

date	SP500	XYZ100	GOLD	USD
2026-07-30	−3.5	0.0	−10.5	—
2026-06-25	+20.5	+24.1	+26.1	—
2026-05-28	—	—	—	—
2026-04-30	—	—	—	—
2026-04-09	—	—	—	—
2026-03-13	—	—	—	—
2026-02-20	—	—	—	—
2026-01-22	—	—	—	—

USD = EURUSD inverted · raw: /api/xyz/macro/event/2026-08-26-0830.json · definitions in methodology